Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Aug 1, 2022 at 11pm UK
Norberto Tomaghello

Defensa
0 - 0
Arsenal

FT

Navas (45+1'), Miloc (55')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Arsenal Sarandi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

Last Six:
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-2 Defensa
Monday, July 25 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Arsenal Sarandi

Last Six:
Last Game: Arsenal 0-3 Rosario
Wednesday, July 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawArsenal Sarandi
58.61% (0.238 0.24)23.64% (-0.125 -0.13)17.74% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 46.04% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66% (0.305 0.31)53.33% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12% (0.259 0.26)74.88% (-0.262 -0.26)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (0.19900000000001 0.2)17.95% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.21% (0.343 0.34)48.79% (-0.345 -0.34)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.11% (0.038000000000004 0.04)43.88% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.97% (0.032 0.03)80.03% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 58.6%
    Arsenal Sarandi 17.74%
    Draw 23.64%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawArsenal Sarandi
1-0 @ 13.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.86% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 58.6%
1-1 @ 11.14% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 17.74%

How you voted: Defensa vs Arsenal

Defensa y Justicia
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Arsenal Sarandi
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2022 10.15pm
Defensa
1-1
Arsenal
Frias (4' pen.)
Colombo (59')
Goni (72')
Aug 29, 2021 5.30pm
Arsenal
0-0
Defensa

Hachen (27'), Soto (39'), Frias (89')
Apr 25, 2021 5.30pm
Defensa
0-1
Arsenal
Unsain (8' og.)
Gariglio (6'), Jeremias Fernandez (80'), Picco (85'), Frias (90+4')
Aug 18, 2019 7.30pm
Defensa
0-3
Arsenal

Piovi (26'), Rodriguez (60')
Parisi (10'), Alvarez Suarez (37'), Sonora (74')
Gimenez (32'), Rescaldani (32'), Pereyra (55'), Piovi (61')
rhs 2.0


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