MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 15:53:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Independiente

Defensa
2 - 1
Independiente

Duarte (28'), Frias (64' pen.)
Duarte (33'), Gutierrez (51')
Gutierrez (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vigo (90+1')
Marcone (13'), Romero (36'), Pozzo (64'), Rodriguez (62'), Fernandez (72'), Vigo (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

Last Six:
Last Game: Sarmiento 2-0 Defensa
Friday, July 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Rosario
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Independiente

 There is very little to separate the sides right now, and we expect a tight affair in this one with the teams cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente
46.32% (0.604 0.6) 26.82% (0.199 0.2) 26.86% (-0.804 -0.8)
Both teams to score 48.06% (-1.13 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.59% (-1.184 -1.18)56.41% (1.183 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.58% (-0.965 -0.97)77.42% (0.964 0.96)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (-0.22999999999999 -0.23)24.33% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-0.326 -0.33)58.71% (0.325 0.33)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.5% (-1.296 -1.3)36.5% (1.295 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (-1.331 -1.33)73.29% (1.33 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 46.32%
    Independiente 26.86%
    Draw 26.82%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.87% (0.282 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.18% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.396 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Defensa vs Independiente

Defensa y Justicia
33.3%
Draw
40.0%
Independiente
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 1.15am
Independiente
0-0
Defensa

Velasco (29'), Manuel Insaurralde (29'), Blanco (82')
Blanco (90+3')

Tripichio (16'), Contreras (26'), Gutierrez (38'), Silva (53'), Soto (57'), Rivero (65')
Apr 18, 2021 10pm
Independiente
1-0
Defensa
Barreto (77')
Palacios (82')

Romero (18'), Pizzini (47'), Escalante (90+6')
Dec 6, 2020 10.10pm
Zone Two
Independiente
1-0
Defensa
Sonora (3')
Benavidez (24'), Costa (75'), Ignacio Pacchini (83')
Nov 15, 2020 9.45pm
Zone Two
Defensa
0-0
Independiente

Acevedo (39'), Frias (44'), Paredes (89')

Rodriguez (27'), Barboza (37'), Franco (57'), Romero (78')
Jul 28, 2019 9.45pm
Defensa
0-1
Independiente

Herrera (23'), Benitez (25'), Fernandez (26'), Merlini (86'), Piovi (90')
Palacios (33')
Figal (53')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield26139436162048
2TalleresTalleres2613943324948
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan261210428161246
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8UnionUnion2611692726139
9Atletico TucumanTucuman2610792627-137
10Independiente Rivadavia2610792325-237
11EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
12Instituto27106113231136
13Platense269981918136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2681082627-134
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2688102122-132
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Central CordobaC. Cordoba2687112934-531
22Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2671092733-631
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Sarmiento27511111828-1026
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2667131934-1525
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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