MX23RW : Friday, April 26 13:34:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Patronato
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 27, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella
Independiente

Patronato
3 - 1
Independiente

Rodriguez (1', 57'), Acevedo (26')
Medina (12'), Rodriguez (49'), Guasone (53'), Lozano (86')
Valdez (16')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Romero (45+5')
Vigo (43'), Benegas (62'), Manuel Insaurralde (70'), Marquez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Patronato

Last Six:
Last Game: Sarmiento 3-1 Patronato
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Estudiantes
Tuesday, June 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Patronato 1-2 Independiente

 Although Independiente have failed to win their opening two away league games, they have prevailed in their last two meetings with Patronato, and we think they will take confidence from those results to claim a narrow victory on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
PatronatoDrawIndependiente
31.85% (-0.331 -0.33) 28.21% (0.532 0.53) 39.93% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 46.6% (-1.624 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.54% (-1.996 -2)59.46% (1.991 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.17% (-1.558 -1.56)79.82% (1.553 1.55)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72% (-1.276 -1.28)34.27% (1.272 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.02% (-1.39 -1.39)70.97% (1.386 1.39)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-1.078 -1.08)29.09% (1.074 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-1.348 -1.35)65.01% (1.345 1.35)
Score Analysis
    Patronato 31.85%
    Independiente 39.93%
    Draw 28.2%
PatronatoDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 10.67% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 7.06% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.85%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 9.97% (0.726 0.73)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.242 -0.24)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 12.31% (0.55 0.55)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.6% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 39.93%

How you voted: Patronato vs Independiente

Patronato
11.1%
Draw
16.7%
Independiente
72.2%
18
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2021 10.45pm
Independiente
2-0
Patronato
Roa (54'), Romero (70')

Nahuel Banega (45+1'), Nievas (73'), Kruspzky (75'), Benitez (79')
Feb 21, 2021 10.20pm
Patronato
0-1
Independiente

Leys (32'), Lemos (64')
Manuel Insaurralde (71')
Aug 31, 2019 9.45pm
Patronato
1-0
Independiente
Comas (35')
Miloc (10'), Escudero (25')

Blanco (11'), Barboza (12'), Figal (45'), Perez (81')
Oct 7, 2018 12am
Patronato
1-2
Independiente
Vera (84' pen.)
Comas (87')
Benitez (67'), Gigliotti (73')
Bustos (65'), Silva (83')
rhs 2.0
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