Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jun 19, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Eva Perón de Junín

Sarmiento
3 - 1
Patronato

Quinteros (27'), Lozano (52' og.), Toledo (90')
Guanini (45+4'), Mendez (54'), Quinteros (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Garcia (42')
Quintana (30'), Mosevich (30'), Cobos (87')
Mosevich (64'), Garcia (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Patronato, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 44.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Patronato
44.72% ( 0.18)	27.88% ( -0.09)	27.39% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 45.46% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.1% (

0.28)

59.9% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.83% (

0.21)

80.16% (

-0.21)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

0.22)

26.7% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.04% (

0.29)

61.96% (

-0.29)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.03% (

0.08)

37.97% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.26% (

0.08)

74.74% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 44.71%

Patronato 27.39%

Draw 27.87%

Sarmiento	Draw	Patronato
1-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 44.71%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.87%	0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 27.39%