Copa Diego Maradona
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Brian Nievas 26' yellowcard
  • Rolando Garcia 65' yellowcard
  • Martin Garay 71' goal
  • Bruno Urribarri 82' yellowcard
  • Junior Arias 86' yellowcard
  • Juan Guasone 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Braian Salvareschi 68'
  • redcard Braian Salvareschi 90'+4'

Patronato vs Sarmiento - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Patronato

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Apr 18, 2021 12.15am
Newell's OB 2 - 0 Patronato

Sarmiento

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Sarmiento 1 - 0 Lanus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Patronato in this match.

Result

Patronato 50.81%
Draw 25.94%
Sarmiento 23.25%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.24%
Under 2.5 55.76%
Over 3.5 23.11%
Under 3.5 76.89%

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5 78%
Under 0.5 22%
Over 1.5 44.69%
Under 1.5 55.31%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5 60.65%
Under 0.5 39.36%
Over 1.5 23.94%
Under 1.5 76.06%

Score analysis

Patronato 50.81%
Draw 25.93%
Sarmiento 23.25%
Patronato
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3%
Total : 50.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 8.66%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.93%
Sarmiento
0-1 @ 8.08%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 23.25%