Atletico Tucuman
Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 15, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
Patronato

Tucuman
4 - 2
Patronato

Acosta (36'), Lotti (43'), Benitez (63'), Ruiz (89')
Aguirre (40'), Acosta (50'), Mussis (77'), Lamendola (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gissi (16'), Gudino (90+4')
Leys (70')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Atletico Tucuman and Patronato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 45%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Patronato win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawPatronato
45%26.38%28.62%
Both teams to score 50.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.16%53.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7%75.3%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16%23.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98%58.02%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29%33.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63%70.37%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 44.99%
    Patronato 28.62%
    Draw 26.37%
Atletico TucumanDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 8.04%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 8.74%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.62%