Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 18, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Patronato

Newell's OB
2 - 0
Patronato

Ezequiel Calcaterra (41'), Scocco (90+2')
Perez (7'), Ezequiel Calcaterra (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Torres (31'), Garcia (35'), Guasone (38'), Sosa (45+1')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Newell's Old Boys and Patronato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawPatronato
50.34%24.9%24.76%
Both teams to score 51.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.5%50.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.58%72.42%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93%20.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7%52.3%
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93%35.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19%71.81%
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 50.34%
    Patronato 24.76%
    Draw 24.9%
Newell's Old BoysDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.34%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.37%
1-2 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.76%

rhs 2.0


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