Racing1 - 0Independiente
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
Tuesday, July 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
We said: Racing Club 2-0 Independiente
Racing Club have got mixed form as of late, but the fact that they have been so dominant overall throughout the season should allow them to get back on track. The visitors have struggled throughout the campaign, and going away from home against the league leaders is not the easiest way of changing that. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing Club in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Racing Club.
Result | ||
Racing Club | Draw | Independiente |
55.12% ( 0.16) | 24.46% ( -0.06) | 20.42% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 47.98% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.97% ( 0.1) | 53.03% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.38% ( 0.09) | 74.62% ( -0.09) |
Racing Club Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.85% ( 0.1) | 19.15% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.2% ( 0.17) | 50.8% ( -0.17) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.34% ( -0.05) | 40.65% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.75% ( -0.04) | 77.25% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Racing Club | Draw | Independiente |
1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.11% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.42% |
How you voted: Racing vs Independiente
Bustos (60'), Ignacio Pacchini (76'), Rodriguez (90+8')