Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
Tuesday, July 5 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing Club in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Racing Club.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Independiente |
| 55.12% ( | 24.46% ( | 20.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.97% ( | 53.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.38% ( | 74.62% ( |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( | 19.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.2% ( | 50.8% ( |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.34% ( | 40.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.75% ( | 77.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 3-0 @ 5.86% ( 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.11% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.31% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.42% |
How you voted: Racing vs Independiente
Bustos (60'), Ignacio Pacchini (76'), Rodriguez (90+8')


