Although Racing Club are currently two points clear of their opponents, Sarmiento have won both of their opening two home league games, and we think that they will utilise home advantage to claim all three points on Sunday.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.