Independiente
Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 21, 2021 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Defensa y Justicia

Independiente
0 - 0
Defensa


Velasco (29'), Manuel Insaurralde (29'), Blanco (82')
FT

Tripichio (16'), Contreras (26'), Gutierrez (38'), Silva (53'), Soto (57'), Rivero (65')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawDefensa y Justicia
54.06%26.28%19.66%
Both teams to score 42.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.74%60.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.56%80.44%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52%22.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96%56.04%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.3%45.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.51%81.49%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 54.05%
    Defensa y Justicia 19.66%
    Draw 26.27%
IndependienteDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 15.33%
2-0 @ 11.44%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 4.46%
4-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 54.05%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 3.51%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 4.7%
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 19.66%