Copa Diego Maradona
Jul 28, 2021 10.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andres Roa 54' goal
  • Silvio Romero 70' goal
  • yellowcard Tiago Nahuel Banega 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Brian Nievas 73'
  • yellowcard Lucas Kruspzky 75'
  • yellowcard Oliver Benitez 79'

Independiente vs Patronato - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Jul 26, 2021 12.15am
Estudiantes 0 - 1 Independiente

Patronato

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Jul 25, 2021 5.30pm
Patronato 2 - 0 Sarmiento

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result

Independiente 45.76%
Draw 27.85%
Patronato 26.39%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.89%

Goals

Over 2.5 39.7%
Under 2.5 60.3%
Over 3.5 19.53%
Under 3.5 80.46%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 73.64%
Under 0.5 26.36%
Over 1.5 38.49%
Under 1.5 61.5%

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5 60.95%
Under 0.5 39.04%
Over 1.5 24.23%
Under 1.5 75.76%

Score analysis

Independiente 45.75%
Draw 27.85%
Patronato 26.39%
Independiente
1-0 @ 13.72%
2-0 @ 9.15%
2-1 @ 8.6%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 45.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 10.29%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.85%
Patronato
0-1 @ 9.68%
1-2 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 26.39%

Head to Head

Copa Diego Maradona
Feb 21, 2021 10.20pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella
  • Franco Leys 32' yellowcard
  • Damian Lemos 64' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Manuel Insaurralde 71'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2019 9.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná, Provincia de Entre Ríos)
  • Dardo Miloc 10' yellowcard
  • Matias Escudero 25' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Comas 35' goal
  • yellowcard Domingo Blanco 11'
  • yellowcard Alexander Barboza 12'
  • yellowcard Jorge Figal 45'
  • yellowcard Pablo Perez 81'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2018 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná, Provincia de Entre Ríos)
  • Renzo Vera 84' goal
  • Lautaro Comas 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bustos 65'
  • goal Martin Benitez 67'
  • goal Emmanuel Gigliotti 73'
  • yellowcard Gaston Silva 83'