Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Jul 16, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América

Independiente
0 - 0
Rosario


Fernandez (54'), Vigo (54'), Pozzo (57'), Romero (67')
FT

Montoya (16'), Buonanotte (60'), Blanco (75'), Frias (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Independiente
Sunday, July 10 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Rosario Central

Last Six:
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, July 9 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 25.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawRosario Central
48.97% (0.031999999999996 0.03)25.89% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)25.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)54.08% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)75.51% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (0.022000000000006 0.02)22.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53% (0.034000000000006 0.03)55.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.7% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.51% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)73.48% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 48.97%
    Rosario Central 25.14%
    Draw 25.88%
IndependienteDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 12.24%
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 48.97%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 8.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.14%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 8.30pm
Rosario
3-0
Independiente
Ruben (2'), Velazquez (71'), Montoya (73')
Ferreyra (82')

Barreto (17'), (60'), Romero (82'), Manuel Insaurralde (88'), Ortega (90+4')
Manuel Insaurralde (89')
Aug 15, 2021 12.15am
Rosario
1-2
Independiente
Russo Cordero (79')
Garay (25'), Torrent (27'), Leonardo Luques (82')
Romero (26', 45+2')
Manuel Insaurralde (37'), Velasco (82')
Feb 1, 2020 8.35pm
Independiente
5-0
Rosario
Barboza (3'), Fernandez (33'), Romero (40'), Romero (52'), Roa (74')
Romero (50')

Martinez (14')
Apr 7, 2019 5pm
Rosario
1-2
Independiente
Ortigoza (32' pen.)
Barbieri (56')
Perez (40'), Benitez (45')