Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.