Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 11, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
3 - 2
Aldosivi

Albertengo (56'), Galvan (62'), Tripichio (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martinez (11'), Kociubinski (18')
Roman (30'), Kociubinski (38'), Devecchi (69')
Boolsen (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Aldosivi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

Last Six:
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-0 Defensa
Sunday, July 3 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Aldosivi

Last Six:
Last Game: Aldosivi 2-1 Rosario
Monday, July 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawAldosivi
60.98% (0.645 0.64)23.16% (0.013000000000002 0.01)15.86% (-0.654 -0.65)
Both teams to score 43.82% (-1.328 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.67% (-1.058 -1.06)54.33% (1.064 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.28% (-0.891 -0.89)75.72% (0.896 0.9)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (-0.151 -0.15)17.47% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.05% (-0.267 -0.27)47.95% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Aldosivi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.1% (-1.506 -1.51)46.9% (1.511 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.59% (-1.164 -1.16)82.41% (1.169 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 60.97%
    Aldosivi 15.86%
    Draw 23.16%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawAldosivi
1-0 @ 14.29% (0.51 0.51)
2-0 @ 12.47% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.25% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.49% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.124 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 60.97%
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.19% (0.334 0.33)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 4.1% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 0.9% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 15.86%

How you voted: Defensa vs Aldosivi

Defensa y Justicia
58.8%
Draw
17.6%
Aldosivi
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2021 10pm
Aldosivi
1-0
Defensa
Lodico (58')
Gil Romero (17'), Insua (90+1'), Indacoechea (90+3')

Rodriguez (21'), Tripichio (84'), Merentiel (87')
Jan 14, 2021 8.45pm
Zone Two
Defensa
4-4
Aldosivi
Merentiel (34', 44', 54'), Camacho (43')
Gallardo (32')
Lopez (22'), Braida (25'), Contreras (74', 86')
Iniguez (36')
Oct 20, 2019 3pm
Aldosivi
1-0
Defensa
Andrada (25')
Andrada (33'), Iniguez (44'), Veron (62'), Burbano (85')
Burbano (91')

Cesar Gonzalez Trinidad (33'), Rodriguez (36'), Marquez (39'), Gabriel Rodriguez (84'), Cardozo (93')
Mar 5, 2019 12.30am
Aldosivi
0-1
Defensa

Amor (16'), Ruiz (40'), Miloc (63'), Villalba (78'), Perez (82')
Rojas (80')
Rius (37'), Barboza (59'), Fernandez (63'), Rojas (81')
rhs 2.0


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