Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Atletico Tucuman

Independiente
0 - 1
Tucuman


Barreto (31'), Elizalde (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lotti (1')
Ruiz (49'), Acosta (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Defensa 2-1 Independiente
Wednesday, July 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Atletico Tucuman

Last Six:
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Sarmiento
Tuesday, July 19 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawAtletico Tucuman
54.02% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)26.48% (0.018000000000001 0.02)19.49% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 41.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)61.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.95% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)81.04% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)22.84% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.43% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)56.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.63% (0.019000000000005 0.02)46.37% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.99% (0.015999999999998 0.02)82.01% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 54.01%
    Atletico Tucuman 19.49%
    Draw 26.48%
IndependienteDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.64%
2-0 @ 11.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 54.01%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.62% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.49%

How you voted: Independiente vs Tucuman

Independiente
36.8%
Draw
10.5%
Atletico Tucuman
52.6%
19
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2021 10.45pm
Tucuman
2-0
Independiente
Mussis (86'), Tesuri (87')
Campos (44'), Tesuri (88')

Ortega (45+2'), Ostachuk (56')
May 2, 2021 4.10pm
Independiente
0-1
Tucuman

Barreto (55'), Romero (74')
Heredia (44')
Toledo (5'), Bustos (64'), Albornoz (72'), Acosta (85')
Nov 6, 2020 12.30am
Tucuman
1-1
Independiente
Heredia (40')
Toledo (43'), Alustiza (90+6')
Romero (20')
Rodriguez (86'), Romero (88')
Oct 30, 2020 12.30am
Independiente
1-0
Tucuman
Romero (27' pen.)
Romero (42')

Carrera (27'), Mussis (31'), Acosta (50')
Carrera (49')
Sep 22, 2019 12am
Tucuman
0-1
Independiente

Cabral (13'), Heredia (17'), Ortiz (27'), Bianchi (45'), Toledo (65')
Palacios (62')
Benavidez (17'), Franco (25'), Silva (33')
rhs 2.0


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