Patronato
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Jul 31, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella

Patronato
3 - 0
Boca Juniors

Rodriguez (23'), Sosa (40'), Acevedo (80')
Leys (45+1'), Acevedo (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Varela (79')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Patronato

Last Six:
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Patronato
Wednesday, July 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Boca Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-1 Estudiantes
Monday, July 25 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
PatronatoDrawBoca Juniors
23.33% (-0.164 -0.16)26.4% (0.091000000000001 0.09)50.26% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 46.13% (-0.416 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66% (-0.455 -0.45)57.34% (0.455 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (-0.364 -0.36)78.17% (0.36399999999999 0.36)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.83% (-0.416 -0.42)40.17% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.19% (-0.379 -0.38)76.8% (0.38 0.38)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)22.91% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.235 -0.23)56.67% (0.235 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Patronato 23.33%
    Boca Juniors 50.26%
    Draw 26.39%
PatronatoDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.051 0.05)
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 23.33%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 13.56% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 9.99% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.26%

Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 12.15am
Boca Juniors
1-0
Patronato
Vasquez (85')

Gudino (90')
May 8, 2021 10pm
Patronato
1-0
Boca Juniors
Torres (74')
Urribarri (77')

Sandez (78'), Valentini (85')
Aug 5, 2019 12am
Patronato
0-2
Boca Juniors

Rosales (10'), Tarragona (52'), Andrade (67'), Chimino (74')
Salvio (6'), Tevez (15')
Goltz (35'), Marcone (90')
Nov 17, 2018 8.10pm
Boca Juniors
1-0
Patronato
Espinoza (82')
Buffarini (27'), Cardona (76'), Retegui (93')

Brinone (16')