Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 4, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Patronato

Newell's OB
2 - 2
Patronato

Velazquez (7'), Sordo (43')
Manuel Garcia (39'), Ditta (40'), Cingolani (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Medina (55'), Lozano (90+4')
Cobos (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Patronato, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-2 Newell's OB
Saturday, June 25 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Patronato

Last Six:
Last Game: Patronato 3-1 Independiente
Monday, June 27 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawPatronato
55.43% (-0.101 -0.1)25.7% (0.041 0.04)18.87% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 42.44% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.83% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)59.17% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.4% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)79.6% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)21.45% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.52% (-0.105 -0.11)54.48% (0.106 0.11)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.03% (0.033999999999999 0.03)45.98% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.3% (0.026 0.03)81.7% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 55.43%
    Patronato 18.87%
    Draw 25.69%
Newell's Old BoysDrawPatronato
1-0 @ 15.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 55.43%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 18.87%

How you voted: Newell's OB vs Patronato

Newell's Old Boys
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Patronato
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 1.30am
Newell's OB
1-0
Patronato
Sordo (79')
Luciano (45+2'), Giani (70')

Cobos (22'), Castro (83'), Geminiani (89')
Aug 2, 2021 8.45pm
Patronato
0-0
Newell's OB

Geminiani (52'), Nahuel Banega (58'), Sosa (79')

Sforza (63'), Scocco (80')
Apr 18, 2021 12.15am
Newell's OB
2-0
Patronato
Oct 19, 2019 9.45pm
Patronato
1-3
Newell's OB
Tarragona (93')
Escudero (3'), Lemos (17'), Abero (80')
Salinas (19'), Albertengo (80'), Formica (83')
Gentiletti (3'), Gabrielli (84')
Dec 1, 2018 12.15am
Newell's OB
1-0
Patronato
Fertoli (55')
Fontanini (21'), Rivero (52')

Lemos (30'), Sperduti (45'), Barcelo (94')