MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 00:27:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Patronato
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 20, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella

Patronato
1 - 0
Tigre

Alvarez (47')
Medina (7'), Sosa (67'), Mosevich (89'), Lozano (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Protti (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-3 Patronato
Friday, July 15 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Estudiantes
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Patronato 1-2 Tigre

The two teams are amongst the highest scorers so far, so we tip both of them to get on the scoresheet in this one. That said, we just about fancy Tigre to scrape a narrow victory come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Patronato in this match.

Result
PatronatoDrawTigre
36.19% (-8.068 -8.07) 28.07% (0.857 0.86) 35.75% (7.216 7.22)
Both teams to score 47.6% (-0.416 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.51% (-1.505 -1.51)58.49% (1.51 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.93% (-1.188 -1.19)79.08% (1.194 1.19)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (-5.262 -5.26)30.87% (5.267 5.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (-6.665 -6.67)67.15% (6.671 6.67)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (4.312 4.31)31.15% (-4.308 -4.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (4.744 4.74)67.48% (-4.74 -4.74)
Score Analysis
    Patronato 36.19%
    Tigre 35.75%
    Draw 28.06%
PatronatoDrawTigre
1-0 @ 11.3% (-1.06 -1.06)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.989 -0.99)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-1.783 -1.78)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.932 -0.93)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-1.224 -1.22)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.287 -0.29)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 9.61% (0.537 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.21% (1.799 1.8)
1-2 @ 7.69% (1.04 1.04)
0-2 @ 6.54% (1.661 1.66)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.692 0.69)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.856 0.86)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.191 0.19)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.75%

How you voted: Patronato vs Tigre

Patronato
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Tigre
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2019 10pm
Tigre
2-1
Patronato
Gonzalez (35'), Montillo (56')
Menossi (58'), Niz (69')
Berterame (26')
Geminiani (37'), Lemos (84'), Pantaleone (85'), Escudero (92'), Berterame (92')
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