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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 12, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 1
Tigre

Veron (14'), Cabrera (25')
Reniero (8'), Moyano (32'), Torren (40')
Torren (62')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Retegui (34' pen.)
Castro (12'), Demartini (89')
Luciatti (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: C. Cordoba 1-2 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, July 1 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Tigre

Last Six:
Last Game: Tigre 1-1 Talleres
Saturday, July 2 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Argentinos Juniors 2-1 Tigre

 Even though they dropped their last home fixture on Wednesday, El Bicho play with a lot more structure and balance on their home field. We expect them to use the crowd to their advantage again on Monday while also finding a way through a side who have conceded the second-most goals (10) in the second phase of this competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentinos Juniors.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawTigre
57.01% (0.408 0.41) 24.07% (-0.338 -0.34) 18.91% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.8% (0.832 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.61% (1.173 1.17)53.39% (-1.171 -1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.08% (0.983 0.98)74.92% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43% (0.596 0.6)18.57% (-0.594 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.17% (0.997 1)49.83% (-0.995 -1)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.47% (0.607 0.61)42.53% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.11% (0.515 0.52)78.89% (-0.51299999999999 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 57.01%
    Tigre 18.91%
    Draw 24.06%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawTigre
1-0 @ 13.29% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-0 @ 11.19% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.28% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.1 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 57.01%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.39% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 18.91%

How you voted: Argentinos Jrs vs Tigre

Argentinos Juniors
68.8%
Draw
18.8%
Tigre
12.5%
16
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 8pm
Tigre
1-1
Argentinos Jrs
 Tigre win 3-1 on penalties
Castro (55')
Retegui (60'), Fernandez (72')
Avalos (87')
Vera (29'), Di Cesare (77')
Florentin (38')
Nov 12, 2018 8pm
Tigre
2-1
Argentinos Jrs
Menossi (69'), Luna (88')
Batalla (6'), Menossi (26'), Canuto (84')
Batalla (6')
Ilarregui (17')
Mendez (37'), Perez (82')
rhs 2.0
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