Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.