Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.