Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Boca Juniors
33.47% ( 1.81)	28.4% ( 0.98)	38.13% ( -2.79)

Both teams to score 46.42% (

-2.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.14% (

-3.2)

59.86% (

3.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.87% (

-2.51)

80.13% (

2.5)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65% (

-0.4)

33.35% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03% (

-0.44)

69.97% (

0.44)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64% (

-3.15)

30.36% (

3.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46% (

-3.92)

66.55% (

3.92)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 33.46%

Boca Juniors 38.13%

Draw 28.39%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 1.16) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.46%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 1.15) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.39%	0-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.52) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.31) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.13%