Sarmiento vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.