Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.