Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
Sep 11, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 0
River Plate

Benedetto (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Colon 1-2 Boca Juniors
Sunday, September 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Barracas Central
Monday, September 5 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
28.58% (0.41 0.41)26.57% (0.159 0.16)44.85% (-0.57 -0.57)
Both teams to score 49.9% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42% (-0.408 -0.41)54.57% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08% (-0.341 -0.34)75.92% (0.339 0.34)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (0.102 0.1)34.13% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (0.112 0.11)70.82% (-0.113 -0.11)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (-0.455 -0.45)24.23% (0.453 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65)58.58% (0.645 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 28.58%
    River Plate 44.84%
    Draw 26.57%
Boca JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.164 0.16)
2-1 @ 6.77% (0.056 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 28.58%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 11.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.31% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 44.84%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 10pm
River Plate
0-1
Boca Juniors

Perez (28')
Villa (54')
Advincula (32'), Ramirez (43'), Zambrano (66'), Figal (80')
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
River Plate
2-1
Boca Juniors
Alvarez (25', 43')
Perez (5'), Alvarez (27'), Rollheiser (89')
Zambrano (90+4')
Rojo (15')
Rojo (16')
May 16, 2021 9.30pm
Boca Juniors
1-1
River Plate
 Boca Juniors win 4-2 on penalties
Tevez (11')
Fabra (38'), Buffarini (43'), Villa (72'), Cardona (88')
Alvarez (68')
Perez (13'), Maidana (58'), Martinez (90+3')
Mar 14, 2021 9pm
Boca Juniors
1-1
River Plate
Villa (41' pen.)
Zambrano (16'), Medina (65'), Villa (73'), Varela (87')
Zambrano (69')
Palavecino (67')
Casco (73')
Casco (79')
Jan 3, 2021 12.30am
Zone Four
Boca Juniors
2-2
River Plate
Abila (10'), Villa (86')
Buffarini (13'), Campuzano (29'), Tevez (90+3'), Villa (90+4')
Campuzano (58')
Girotti (74'), Borre (77')
Carrascal (45+2'), Perez (62'), Montiel (75')
Perez (80')