Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Independiente win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	River Plate
22.47% ( 0.4)	24.81% ( 0.28)	52.71% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 49.65% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.79% (

-0.7)

52.21% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.08% (

-0.61)

73.92% (

0.6)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.89% (

-0)

38.11% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.12% (

-0)

74.87% (

-0)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.22% (

-0.55)

19.78% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.17% (

-0.89)

51.83% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Independiente 22.47%

River Plate 52.71%

Draw 24.81%

Independiente	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.57% Total : 22.47%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.81%	0-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.8% Total : 52.71%