Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 22, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
1 - 0
Gimnasia

Beltran (43')
Zuculini (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Enrique (35'), Cecchini (50'), Muro (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Gimnasia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Monday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Gimnasia

Last Six:
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-0 Colon
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 73.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 9.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 3-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawGimnasia
73.84% (1.361 1.36)16.83% (-0.602 -0.6)9.33% (-0.7561 -0.76)
Both teams to score 44.04% (-0.94 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (0.40300000000001 0.4)43.23% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (0.395 0.4)65.63% (-0.39099999999999 -0.39)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.83% (0.45399999999999 0.45)10.17% (-0.45 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.58% (1.024 1.02)33.42% (-1.02 -1.02)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.03% (-1.298 -1.3)50.97% (1.303 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.68% (-0.891 -0.89)85.32% (0.895 0.89)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 73.83%
    Gimnasia 9.34%
    Draw 16.83%
River PlateDrawGimnasia
2-0 @ 13.54% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 11.85% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.31% (0.398 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.9% (0.339 0.34)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.085 0.09)
5-0 @ 2.7% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 73.83%
1-1 @ 7.99% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 16.83%
0-1 @ 3.49% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-2 @ 2.69% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 9.34%

How you voted: River Plate vs Gimnasia

River Plate
57.9%
Draw
21.1%
Gimnasia
21.1%
19
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 10.15pm
River Plate
4-0
Gimnasia
Fernandez (30' pen.), Alvarez (45+1' pen.), Quintero (72' pen.), Romero (90')
Gonzalez Pirez (40')

Leyes (53'), Morales (62'), Cardozo (64')
Aug 23, 2021 12.15am
Gimnasia
1-1
River Plate
Miguel Rodriguez (7')
Melluso (74'), Licht (89')
Suarez (3')
Romero (13'), Zuculini (48'), De La Cruz (59'), Casco (74')
Sep 28, 2019 9.45pm
Gimnasia
0-2
River Plate

Velazquez (33'), Ayala (48')
Carrascal (22'), Scocco (74')
Zuculini (33'), Sosa (39')
Dec 3, 2018 12.30am
River Plate
3-1
Gimnasia
Borre (7', 36'), Moya (88')
Lux (50')
Gomez (49')
Bonifacio (51'), Cataldi (54'), Monti (73')