Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 24, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio José María Minella

Aldosivi
0 - 3
River Plate

FT(HT: 0-0)
Palavecino (71'), Beltran (73'), Borja (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Aldosivi and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldosivi

Last Six:
Last Game: Colon 1-1 Aldosivi
Tuesday, July 19 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Gimnasia
Friday, July 22 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 11.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
AldosiviDrawRiver Plate
11.18% (0.292 0.29)17.66% (0.204 0.2)71.16% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Both teams to score 48.15% (0.328 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.44% (-0.112 -0.11)41.56% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.04% (-0.11300000000001 -0.11)63.96% (0.117 0.12)
Aldosivi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.74% (0.458 0.46)46.25% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.08% (0.351 0.35)81.92% (-0.349 -0.35)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.59% (-0.152 -0.15)10.4% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.05% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)33.94% (0.352 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Aldosivi 11.18%
    River Plate 71.15%
    Draw 17.66%
AldosiviDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 3.71% (0.066 0.07)
2-1 @ 3.24% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 1.43% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 0.94% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 11.18%
1-1 @ 8.4% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 17.66%
0-2 @ 12.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-1 @ 10.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.5% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 9.3% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 7.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.26% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 4.06% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.03 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.38% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 71.15%

How you voted: Aldosivi vs River Plate

Aldosivi
12.0%
Draw
8.0%
River Plate
80.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2021 1am
River Plate
2-0
Aldosivi
Alvarez (14'), Perez (60')
Diaz (26'), Perez (47'), Vigo (59'), Zuculini (71')

Maciel (56')
Coloccini (31')
May 9, 2021 6.30pm
River Plate
4-1
Aldosivi
Montiel (16' pen.), Borre (45+1'), Paradela (85'), Suarez (90+3')
Rojas (43'), Girotti (89')
Braida (41')
Insua (58'), Insua (90')
Nov 2, 2019 11pm
Aldosivi
1-2
River Plate
Gino (61')
Miers (45'), Martinez (65')
De La Cruz (34'), Borre (55')
Fernandez (64'), Palacios (81')
Oct 27, 2018 7pm
River Plate
1-0
Aldosivi
Ferreira (56')
Moreira (18'), Lollo (66'), Pratto (80'), Zuculini (91')
Martinez (68')

Galeano (25')
Galeano (49')