Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Colon	Draw	Independiente
38.63% ( -1.04)	27.92% ( -0.22)	33.45% ( 1.26)

Both teams to score 47.79% (

0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.85% (

1.02)

58.15% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.19% (

0.79)

78.81% (

-0.79)

Colon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.78% (

-0.11)

29.22% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.83% (

-0.13)

65.16% (

0.13)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.52% (

1.41)

32.48% (

-1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.99% (

1.55)

69% (

-1.55)

Score Analysis

Colon 38.62%

Independiente 33.45%

Draw 27.92%

Colon	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.62%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.92%	0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 6% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.45%