Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.