Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.

Result
Colon	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
37.45% ( -0.25)	28.16% ( -0.07)	34.4% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 47.25% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.11% (

0.28)

58.89% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.61% (

0.22)

79.39% (

-0.21)

Colon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.71% (

-0.01)

30.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.53% (

-0.02)

66.47% (

0.02)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

0.36)

32.23% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

0.4)

68.72% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Colon 37.44%

Velez Sarsfield 34.39%

Draw 28.16%

Colon	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.44%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.39%