Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Sep 6, 2021 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Independiente

River Plate
1 - 1
Independiente

Romero (66')
Carrascal (19'), Perez (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bustos (29')
Romero (25')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between River Plate and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawIndependiente
50.76%25.13%24.1%
Both teams to score 50.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03%51.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29%73.71%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52%20.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.05%52.95%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55%36.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76%73.23%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 50.76%
    Independiente 24.1%
    Draw 25.12%
River PlateDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 11.83%
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 9.39%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 50.76%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 7.46%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.53%
1-2 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 24.1%