Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 86.1%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 3.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.79%) and 4-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.75%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.