Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17

Sep 4, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estadio B.G. Estanislao Lopez

Colon
1 - 2
Boca Juniors

Miguel Rodriguez (40' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Briasco (11'), Langoni (74')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Colon and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colon

Last Six:

Last Game: Barracas Central 1-0 Colon
Sunday, August 28 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Union	13	-1	17
15	Colon	13	0	16
16	Godoy Cruz	12	-1	15

Boca Juniors

Last Six:

Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Tucuman
Sunday, August 28 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24
5	Defensa y Justicia	12	7	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Colon had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.37%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Colon	Draw	Boca Juniors
29.08% ( 0.45)	28.35% ( 0.02)	42.56% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 45.14% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.23% (

0.12)

60.77% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.17% (

0.09)

80.82% (

-0.09)

Colon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.92% (

0.42)

37.07% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.14% (

0.41)

73.86% (

-0.42)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.74% (

-0.2)

28.26% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.03% (

-0.25)

63.97% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Colon 29.08%

Boca Juniors 42.56%

Draw 28.34%

Colon	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.79% Total : 29.08%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 42.56%