Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.

Result
Colon	Draw	Tigre
39.53% ( 3.22)	28.3% ( 1.21)	32.17% ( -4.42)

Both teams to score 46.42% (

-4.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.27% (

-5)

59.73% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.97% (

-3.98)

80.03% (

3.98)

Colon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

-0.53)

29.46% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.53% (

-0.65)

65.47% (

0.65)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.8% (

-5.43)

34.19% (

5.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.11% (

-6.28)

70.89% (

6.29)

Score Analysis

Colon 39.53%

Tigre 32.16%

Draw 28.3%

Colon	Draw	Tigre
1-0 @ 12.31% ( 1.99) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 1.12) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.56% Total : 39.53%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 1.75) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.64) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.3%	0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.92) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.66) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.79) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.61) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.52) Other @ 2.31% Total : 32.16%