Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19

Sep 12, 2022 at 9pm UK

Sarmiento
1 - 2
Independiente

Femia (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fernandez (75', 77')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Independiente
32.54% ( -0.2)	28.02% ( -0.1)	39.44% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 47.33% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.36% (

0.32)

58.64% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.81% (

0.25)

79.19% (

-0.25)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.64% (

0.02)

33.36% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.02% (

0.03)

69.98% (

-0.03)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02% (

0.33)

28.98% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.13% (

0.41)

64.88% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 32.54%

Independiente 39.44%

Draw 28.01%

Sarmiento	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.54%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 39.44%