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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
Sep 9, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Sarmiento

Union
1 - 0
Sarmiento

Ignacio Nardoni (77')
Moyano (85')
Mele (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gallardo (74'), Mainero (78'), Lopez (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Patronato 0-0 Union
Sunday, September 4 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Sarmiento

Last Six:
Last Game: Aldosivi 1-2 Sarmiento
Saturday, September 3 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.

Result
UnionDrawSarmiento
57.05% (0.621 0.62) 25.83% (-0.265 -0.27) 17.12% (-0.353 -0.35)
Both teams to score 39.43% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.4% (0.408 0.41)61.59% (-0.405 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.56% (0.303 0.3)81.44% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (0.429 0.43)21.79% (-0.426 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.65 0.65)54.99% (-0.646 -0.65)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.41% (-0.21 -0.21)49.59% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.63% (-0.146 -0.15)84.37% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Union 57.04%
    Sarmiento 17.12%
    Draw 25.82%
UnionDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 16.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 12.54% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.086 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 57.04%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 10.8% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.12%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 8pm
Sarmiento
2-1
Union
Torres (34'), Andueza (42')
Torres (65'), Mancilla (90+4'), Femia (90+7')
Roldan (14')
Alvez (45'), Ignacio Nardoni (61')
Ignacio Nardoni (76')
Oct 16, 2021 5.30pm
Sarmiento
3-4
Union
Torres (44'), Alanis (73'), Gondou (90+4')
Bazzana (58'), Arismendi (88')
Gonzalez (38', 80'), Calderon (54'), Luna Diale (68')
Calderon (30'), Ignacio Nardoni (51'), Gonzalez (82')
Carlos Portillo (89')
rhs 2.0
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