Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18

Sep 9, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
1 - 0
Sarmiento

Ignacio Nardoni (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.

Result
Union	Draw	Sarmiento
57.05% ( 0.62)	25.83% ( -0.27)	17.12% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 39.43% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.4% (

0.41)

61.59% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.56% (

0.3)

81.44% (

-0.3)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.21% (

0.43)

21.79% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.01% (

0.65)

54.99% (

-0.65)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.41% (

-0.21)

49.59% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.63% (

-0.15)

84.37% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Union 57.04%

Sarmiento 17.12%

Draw 25.82%

Union	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 16.46% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 57.04%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.12%