Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Velez Sarsfield.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.