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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 26, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
2 - 1
Godoy Cruz

Machuca (33'), Zenon (90+2')
Carlos Portillo (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Larrosa (90+7')
Ortiz (21'), Negri (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Godoy Cruz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-2 Union
Wednesday, July 20 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Huracan 0-0 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Union 1-2 Godoy Cruz

With just two points separating the sides in the top half of the table, we expect a thrilling and hard-fought contest on Monday. Godoy Cruz have managed just one win in five away games this season and we predict that the hosts will do just enough to deny them all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawGodoy Cruz
42.84% (0.21100000000001 0.21) 27.14% (-0.067 -0.07) 30.01% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 48.99% (0.136 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (0.203 0.2)56.12% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.81% (0.163 0.16)77.19% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (0.20400000000001 0.2)25.93% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (0.27200000000001 0.27)60.93% (-0.271 -0.27)
Godoy Cruz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47%70.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Union 42.84%
    Godoy Cruz 30.01%
    Draw 27.14%
UnionDrawGodoy Cruz
1-0 @ 11.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 42.84%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.01%

How you voted: Union vs Godoy Cruz

Union
0.0%
Draw
55.6%
Godoy Cruz
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2021 6.15pm
Godoy Cruz
1-2
Union
Lomonaco (9')
Lomonaco (39')
Britez (20'), Cordero (62')
Corvalan (38')
Mar 1, 2020 12.50am
Godoy Cruz
1-3
Union
Troyansky (43' pen., 78'), Cabrera (85')
Milo (21'), Cabrera (22')
Carabajal (71')
Oct 28, 2018 12.30am
Union
0-3
Godoy Cruz

Pitton (44'), Martinez (52'), Elias (72'), Pitton (90')
Gonzalez (23', 78'), Garcia (83')
Henriquez (21')
rhs 2.0
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