Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10

Jul 26, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
2 - 1
Godoy Cruz

Machuca (33'), Zenon (90+2')
Carlos Portillo (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Larrosa (90+7')
Ortiz (21'), Negri (34')
Ortiz (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Godoy Cruz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
Union	Draw	Godoy Cruz
42.84% ( 0.21)	27.14% ( -0.07)	30.01% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 48.99% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.88% (

0.2)

56.12% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.81% (

0.16)

77.19% (

-0.16)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07% (

0.2)

25.93% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

0.27)

60.93% (

-0.27)

Godoy Cruz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.14% (

33.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.47%

70.53% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Union 42.84%

Godoy Cruz 30.01%

Draw 27.14%

Union	Draw	Godoy Cruz
1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.84%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.14%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.01%