San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
2 - 2
Union

Bareiro (31'), Barrios (44')
Leguizamon (71'), Torrico (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Polenta (57'), Gonzalez (90+6')
Castrillon (65'), Polenta (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

Last Six:
Last Game: Banfield 1-1 San Lorenzo
Sunday, July 17 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Union 0-0 Huracan
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Union had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawUnion
44.78% (0.563 0.56)27.12% (-0.205 -0.2)28.1% (-0.357 -0.36)
Both teams to score 48.01% (0.375 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.13% (0.587 0.59)56.87% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.21% (0.468 0.47)77.79% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (0.547 0.55)25.28% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.95% (0.75 0.75)60.05% (-0.751 -0.75)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (0.033000000000001 0.03)35.74% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49% (0.034999999999997 0.03)72.51% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 44.78%
    Union 28.1%
    Draw 27.12%
San LorenzoDrawUnion
1-0 @ 12.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 44.78%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.04% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.78% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 28.1%

How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Union

San Lorenzo
62.5%
Draw
29.2%
Union
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Union
1-2
San Lorenzo
Bucca (90+4')
Gattoni (8', 73')
Bareiro (12'), Perruzzi (88')
Aug 7, 2021 7.45pm
Union
4-0
San Lorenzo
Gattoni (21' og.), Marquez (44'), Angel Esquivel (45'), Insaurralde (86')
Corvalan (55')

Gattoni (38')
Aug 31, 2019 7.30pm
San Lorenzo
2-1
Union
Romero (3'), Pitton (20')
Salazar (19'), Barrios (77'), Poblete (79')
Bonifacio (38')
Corvalan (12'), Martinez (44'), Milo (54'), Elias (60'), Bottinelli (82')
Martinez (82'), Bottinelli (82')
Aug 28, 2018 1am
Union
1-1
San Lorenzo
Fragapane (91')
Fragapane (45'), Acevedo (52')
Reniero (12')
Pereyra (31'), Poblete (44')