Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.