MX23RW : Monday, December 16 06:12:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus
2 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Acosta (54'), Tomas Ortellado (74')
Loaiza (36'), Acosta (64'), Gonzalez (68')
Sanabria (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perrone (39'), Jara (70')
Perrone (21'), Ortega (59'), Osorio (73'), Gomez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Monday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Lanus 1-2 Velez Sarsfield

Lanus and Velez have failed to hit their stride in the new campaign and will both head into Wednesday seeking a morale-boosting victory. Lanus have lost six of their last seven games in all competitions and we are backing the visitors to heap their misery by coming out victorious, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
39.52% (-0.584 -0.58) 27.83% (0.159 0.16) 32.65% (0.425 0.43)
Both teams to score 47.9% (-0.358 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06% (-0.5 -0.5)57.94% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36% (-0.395 -0.4)78.64% (0.395 0.39)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (-0.57199999999999 -0.57)28.59% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (-0.719 -0.72)64.39% (0.719 0.72)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.036999999999992 0.04)32.92% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.041 0.04)69.49% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 39.52%
    Velez Sarsfield 32.64%
    Draw 27.82%
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.82%
0-1 @ 10.45% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.64%

How you voted: Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield

Lanus
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Velez Sarsfield
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 8.30pm
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Lanus
Janson (44', 51'), Pratto (90+3')
Pasquini (11')
Malcorra (6'), Belmonte (26')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Velez Sarsfield
5-1
Lanus
Bouzat (14'), Almada (52'), Caseres (62'), Ortega (77'), Centurion (83')
Hoyos (27'), Caseres (45+1'), Mancuello (45+3'), Martinez (89')
Belmonte (76')
Morel (51'), Thaller (60'), Esquivel (63'), Aguirre (80')
Apr 25, 2021 3pm
Lanus
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Bernabei (49')
Mancuello (76'), De los Santos (89')
Perez (15'), Nicolas Mulet (48'), Perez (65'), Sand (69')
Jan 14, 2021 12.30am
Lanus
3-0
Velez Sarsfield
Belmonte (45+3'), Orsini (60'), Bernabei (88')
Acosta (24'), Quignon (46'), B (51')

Mancuello (31'), De La Fuente (70'), Martin Lucero (82')
Tarragona (44')
Jan 7, 2021 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Lanus

Ortega (61'), Mancuello (84'), Galdames (90+1')
Sand (39')
Acosta (3'), Morales (26'), De la Vega (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8UnionUnion2711792726140
9Platense2710982018239
10Atletico TucumanTucuman2610792627-137
11Independiente Rivadavia2610792325-237
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2681082627-134
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2687112934-531
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!