MX23RW : Friday, April 26 01:01:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus
2 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Acosta (54'), Tomas Ortellado (74')
Loaiza (36'), Acosta (64'), Gonzalez (68')
Sanabria (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perrone (39'), Jara (70')
Perrone (21'), Ortega (59'), Osorio (73'), Gomez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Monday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Lanus 1-2 Velez Sarsfield

Lanus and Velez have failed to hit their stride in the new campaign and will both head into Wednesday seeking a morale-boosting victory. Lanus have lost six of their last seven games in all competitions and we are backing the visitors to heap their misery by coming out victorious, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
39.52% (-0.584 -0.58) 27.83% (0.159 0.16) 32.65% (0.425 0.43)
Both teams to score 47.9% (-0.358 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06% (-0.5 -0.5)57.94% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36% (-0.395 -0.4)78.64% (0.395 0.39)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (-0.57199999999999 -0.57)28.59% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (-0.719 -0.72)64.39% (0.719 0.72)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.036999999999992 0.04)32.92% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.041 0.04)69.49% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 39.52%
    Velez Sarsfield 32.64%
    Draw 27.82%
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.82%
0-1 @ 10.45% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.64%

How you voted: Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield

Lanus
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Velez Sarsfield
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 8.30pm
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Lanus
Janson (44', 51'), Pratto (90+3')
Pasquini (11')
Malcorra (6'), Belmonte (26')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Velez Sarsfield
5-1
Lanus
Bouzat (14'), Almada (52'), Caseres (62'), Ortega (77'), Centurion (83')
Hoyos (27'), Caseres (45+1'), Mancuello (45+3'), Martinez (89')
Belmonte (76')
Morel (51'), Thaller (60'), Esquivel (63'), Aguirre (80')
Apr 25, 2021 3pm
Lanus
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Bernabei (49')
Mancuello (76'), De los Santos (89')
Perez (15'), Nicolas Mulet (48'), Perez (65'), Sand (69')
Jan 14, 2021 12.30am
Lanus
3-0
Velez Sarsfield
Belmonte (45+3'), Orsini (60'), Bernabei (88')
Acosta (24'), Quignon (46'), B (51')

Mancuello (31'), De La Fuente (70'), Martin Lucero (82')
Tarragona (44')
Jan 7, 2021 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Lanus

Ortega (61'), Mancuello (84'), Galdames (90+1')
Sand (39')
Acosta (3'), Morales (26'), De la Vega (81')
rhs 2.0
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