Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Lanus.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.