Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Aug 6, 2022 at 1.30am UK
 

Sarmiento
2 - 1
Lanus

Lopez (6', 45+3')
Torres (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Aguirre (69')
Aguirre (48')
Aude (3')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

Last Six:
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Sarmiento
Monday, August 1 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Lanus

Last Six:
Last Game: Lanus 0-1 Aldosivi
Sunday, July 31 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.

Result
SarmientoDrawLanus
41.51% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)27.2% (-0.324 -0.32)31.29% (0.412 0.41)
Both teams to score 49.33% (1.101 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06% (1.324 1.32)55.93% (-1.326 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (1.064 1.06)77.04% (-1.065 -1.07)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (0.566 0.57)26.55% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.24% (0.745 0.75)61.76% (-0.747 -0.75)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16% (0.988 0.99)32.84% (-0.989 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (1.086 1.09)69.4% (-1.088 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 41.5%
    Lanus 31.29%
    Draw 27.2%
SarmientoDrawLanus
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.091 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.72% (-0.455 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.165 0.16)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.29%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 7.45pm
Lanus
1-1
Sarmiento
Sand (59')
Belmonte (61'), Burdisso (79')
Alanis (90+5' pen.)
Arismendi (45+1'), Bravo (75')
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Sarmiento
1-0
Lanus
Torres (66' pen.)
Martin Pombo (40'), Graciani (73'), Francisco Vazquez (81')

Perez (52'), Luis Gomez (90+4'), Bernabei (90+6')