Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10

Jul 24, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 0
Lanus

Aleman (29' pen.)
Aleman (30'), Guiffrey (64'), Morales (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aude (31'), Loaiza (35'), Careaga (51'), Acosta (75'), Boggio (86')
Aude (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Lanus
54.41% ( -0.1)	24.57% ( 0.01)	21.01% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.46% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.17% (

0.04)

52.82% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.55% (

0.03)

74.44% (

-0.03)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

-0.03)

19.34% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88% (

-0.04)

51.12% (

0.04)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.08% (

0.11)

39.92% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.42% (

0.1)

76.58% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 54.41%

Lanus 21.01%

Draw 24.57%

Gimnasia	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.41%	1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.01%