MX23RW : Friday, April 19 00:42:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 24, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 0
Lanus

Aleman (29' pen.)
Aleman (30'), Guiffrey (64'), Morales (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aude (31'), Loaiza (35'), Careaga (51'), Acosta (75'), Boggio (86')
Aude (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Gimnasia
Friday, July 22 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 2-2 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Gimnasia 1-0 Lanus

Gimnasia have turned their home ground into a real fortress, and they are huge favourites to emerge victorious here. While we expect Lanus to give a good account of themselves, we are also tipping the hosts to come out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawLanus
54.41% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1) 24.57% (0.012 0.01) 21.01% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.46% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (0.039000000000001 0.04)52.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)74.44% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)19.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)51.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (0.109 0.11)39.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (0.101 0.1)76.58% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 54.41%
    Lanus 21.01%
    Draw 24.57%
GimnasiaDrawLanus
1-0 @ 12.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 54.41%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.01%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Lanus

Gimnasia
100%
Draw
0.0%
Lanus
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2021 8.30pm
Lanus
2-0
Gimnasia
Manuel Lopez (14'), Gonzalez (36')
Belmonte (28'), Bernabei (34'), Thaller (35'), Manuel Lopez (44'), Aguirre (83')

Insaurralde (38')
Carbonero (28')
Apr 3, 2021 8.15pm
Gimnasia
2-4
Lanus
Licht (22', 82')
Aleman (29'), Licht (67')
Perez (15', 33'), Esquivel (46'), De la Vega (80')
Aude (29'), Belmonte (38'), Esquivel (63')
Jul 27, 2019 9.45pm
Lanus
1-1
Gimnasia
Valenti (21')
Di Placido (94')
Garcia (60')
Mussis (34'), Ayala (69'), Melluso (70'), Caire (86'), Gomez (89'), Tijanovich (94')
Caire (94')
Feb 9, 2019 12.10am
Lanus
2-0
Gimnasia
Sand (36' pen.), Di Placido (44')
Belmonte (55')

Gonzalo (45'), Faravelli (70'), Guanini (90')
rhs 2.0
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