Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.