Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 48.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.