Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 15

Aug 23, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 1
Sarmiento

Perrone (58')
Perrone (22'), de los Santos (23'), Caseres (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Toledo (24' pen.)
Rosso (34'), Mendez (35'), Mainero (51')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 66.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 11.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.29%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Sarmiento
66.81% ( 0.27)	21.26% ( -0.22)	11.93% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 39.61% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.46% (

0.66)

54.53% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.11% (

0.54)

75.88% (

-0.55)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.44% (

0.31)

15.55% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.5% (

0.58)

44.5% (

-0.58)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.91% (

0.31)

53.08% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.29% (

0.19)

86.7% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 66.8%

Sarmiento 11.93%

Draw 21.26%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 15.36% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 66.8%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.26%	0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 11.93%