Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Aug 18, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Maria Minella

Aldosivi
3 - 2
Velez Sarsfield

Cauteruccio (66', 69'), Manuel Cuesta (89')
Lecanda (29'), Maciel (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brizuela (40'), Osorio (84')
Garayalde (78'), Hoyos (90+2')
Pratto (85')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Aldosivi and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldosivi

Last Six:
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-0 Aldosivi
Thursday, August 11 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, August 14 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
AldosiviDrawVelez Sarsfield
20.33% (0.484 0.48)26.06% (0.941 0.94)53.6% (-1.424 -1.42)
Both teams to score 43.52% (-1.8 -1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.13% (-2.745 -2.75)58.87% (2.744 2.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.63% (-2.178 -2.18)79.37% (2.177 2.18)
Aldosivi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.87% (-1.065 -1.07)44.13% (1.063 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.77% (-0.885 -0.89)80.23% (0.884 0.88)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-1.707 -1.71)22.1% (1.705 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-2.642 -2.64)55.46% (2.642 2.64)
Score Analysis
    Aldosivi 20.33%
    Velez Sarsfield 53.59%
    Draw 26.06%
AldosiviDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 7.98% (0.579 0.58)
2-1 @ 4.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.26% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.33%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.969 0.97)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.221 -0.22)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 14.72% (0.76 0.76)
0-2 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-3 @ 5.59% (-0.291 -0.29)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.381 -0.38)
0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 53.59%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 10.15pm
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Aldosivi
Orellano (64'), Janson (73')
Mulet (71'), Insua (85')

Meli (15'), Valentini (67')
Valentini (90+1')
Sep 18, 2021 7.45pm
Velez Sarsfield
3-2
Aldosivi
Almada (22', 82'), Martin Lucero (68' pen.)
Mancuello (76'), Ortega (86')
Cerro (10'), Cauteruccio (90')
Iniguez (36'), Cerro (75')
Jan 31, 2020 12.10am
Velez Sarsfield
1-1
Aldosivi
Romero (30')
Abram (12'), Gago (65')
Abram (94')
Gino (55')
Maciel (10'), Gino (45'), Villalba (64'), Fara (73'), Galeano (82')
Oct 2, 2018 1.15am
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Aldosivi
Vargas (68'), Salinas (79')
Gimenez (28'), Bouzat (40')

Galeano (45')