Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.