Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sarmiento 2-1 Lanus
Saturday, August 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, August 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Last Game: Independiente 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, August 7 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 7 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Independiente |
| 39.88% ( | 28.24% ( | 31.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.45% ( | 59.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.1% ( | 79.89% ( |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( | 29.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.89% | 65.11% |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( | 34.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29% ( | 71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
Lanus 39.87%
Independiente 31.88%
Draw 28.23%
| Lanus | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% ( 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 4-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0-0 @ 10% ( 2-2 @ 4.35% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0-2 @ 5.73% ( 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.88% |
Form Guide


