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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Aug 13, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
Independiente

Lanus
1 - 1
Independiente

Sand (20')
Pasquini (13'), Sand (29'), Monetti (57'), Aguirre (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Benegas (83')
Rodriguez (13'), Barreto (54')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

Last Six:
Last Game: Sarmiento 2-1 Lanus
Saturday, August 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 0-1 River Plate
Sunday, August 7 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawIndependiente
39.88% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 28.24% (0.012 0.01) 31.89% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 46.53% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.45% (-0.055 -0.05)59.55% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.1% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)79.89% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.17% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89%65.11%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)34.3% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)71% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 39.87%
    Independiente 31.88%
    Draw 28.23%
LanusDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10.7%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.88%

Head to Head
May 1, 2022 1.30am
Lanus
1-0
Independiente
Gonzalez (90+2')
Perez (45+1'), Gonzalez (86'), Varaldo (90+4')

Vigo (32'), Poblete (58'), Costa (60'), Ostachuk (90+5')
Sep 13, 2021 8.30pm
Independiente
0-1
Lanus

Velasco (33'), Romero (77'), Manuel Insaurralde (87')
Manuel Lopez (50')
Morel (33'), Belmonte (40'), Sand (45+2')
Belmonte (45+2')
Feb 16, 2021 12.30am
Independiente
0-1
Lanus

Asis (90+2')
Burdisso (68')
Burdisso (71'), Bernabei (80'), Esquivel (90+3')
Dec 17, 2020 10.15pm
Independiente
1-3
Lanus
Roa (89')
Franco (5')
Belmonte (15'), Sand (17'), Orsini (44')
Acosta (45+2'), De la Vega (61')
Dec 10, 2020 10.15pm
Lanus
0-0
Independiente

Barboza (45+3'), Benavidez (80')
rhs 2.0
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