Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17
Sep 4, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Independiente

Gimnasia
3 - 1
Independiente

Dominguez (34'), Morales (51', 52'), Contin (56')
Aleman (21'), Piris (44'), Contin (56'), Contin (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fernandez (12')
Elizalde (50'), Fernandez (70'), Fernandez (71'), Barreto (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

Last Six:
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 Gimnasia
Sunday, August 28 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, August 28 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawIndependiente
37.64% (0.090000000000003 0.09)27.3% (-0.422 -0.42)35.06% (0.336 0.34)
Both teams to score 49.89% (1.33 1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38% (1.65 1.65)55.62% (-1.646 -1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (1.331 1.33)76.78% (-1.328 -1.33)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (0.85600000000001 0.86)28.57% (-0.853 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (1.058 1.06)64.36% (-1.054 -1.05)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (1.043 1.04)30.15% (-1.038 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (1.23 1.23)66.3% (-1.226 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 37.64%
    Independiente 35.05%
    Draw 27.29%
GimnasiaDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.104 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.128 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 37.64%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.563 -0.56)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.198 0.2)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.32% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.14 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.131 0.13)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 35.05%

Head to Head
Oct 11, 2021 11pm
Independiente
1-1
Gimnasia
Romero (45+3')
Blanco (37'), Barreto (69'), Laso (90+4'), Costa (90+4')
Carbonero (45')
Cecchini (48'), Melluso (71'), Coronel (89')
Feb 27, 2021 10.20pm
Independiente
1-0
Gimnasia
Manuel Insaurralde (67')
Blanco (4'), Manuel Insaurralde (59'), Menendez (86')

Weigandt (89'), (90+2')
(90')
Feb 22, 2020 10.40pm
Independiente
0-1
Gimnasia

Bustos (17'), Barreto (18'), Sanchez Mino (80'), Martinez (90')
Ramirez (90')
Mancilla (40'), Cocimano (88')
Mar 4, 2019 12.30am
Gimnasia
1-0
Independiente
Faravelli (52')
Comba (42')

Bustos (29'), Sanchez (33')