Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16

Aug 28, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Sonora (12')
Elizalde (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pratto (90')
Fernandez (13'), Brizuela (85')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
38.36% ( 0.39)	29.2% ( 0.07)	32.43% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 44% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.26% (

-0.28)

62.74% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.72% (

-0.2)

82.28% (

0.21)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34% (

0.1)

31.66% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.92% (

0.11)

68.07% (

-0.11)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.38% (

-0.48)

35.61% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.61% (

-0.5)

72.38% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Independiente 38.36%

Velez Sarsfield 32.43%

Draw 29.19%

Independiente	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 38.36%	1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.19%	0-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 32.43%